Thun II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LUZ
4 - 0
THU
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
THU
0 - 2
ZUG
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
THU
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
THU
1 - 3
SOL
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 3
THU
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAD
3 - 2
BLA
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUO
1 - 1
BAD
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAD
6 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 2
BAD
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAD
3 - 3
SCH
66%
18%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |