Thun II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
THU
3 - 0
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 3
THU
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
MEY
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
UGS
0 - 2
THU
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 2
THU
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
TER
4 - 2
BAD
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 3
LEM
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
LEM
1 - 0
BAD
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAD
2 - 1
MEY
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
MEY
1 - 1
BAD
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |