Three Star vs Manang Marshyangdi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Three Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
STA
3 - 0
SAK
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
POL
0 - 2
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
RCT
1 - 0
STA
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
STA
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
MAB
0 - 6
STA
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manang Marshyangdi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
RCT
2 - 1
MAN
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
MAN
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
MAB
2 - 4
MAN
47%
23%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 0
APF
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |