Thouars vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
THO
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
THO
2 - 2
LEP
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LAS
1 - 4
THO
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
THO
0 - 2
NAN
23%
26%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 1
THO
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
BEA
0 - 1
STG
19%
25%
56%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
STG
1 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FLE
0 - 2
STG
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
STG
3 - 0
SEN
60%
24%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EVR
1 - 1
STG
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |