Thouars vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
THO
1 - 3
FCM
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2000 |
NOI
0 - 0
THO
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
THO
1 - 0
PAC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
PAU
1 - 1
THO
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
THO
2 - 1
RAC
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
ASN
1 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LEN
0 - 1
ASN
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
CSL
0 - 1
ASN
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
LHA
0 - 1
ASN
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |