Thouars vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
68.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 2
THO
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 3
THO
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
THO
0 - 1
AVO
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LEP
1 - 2
THO
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
THO
1 - 3
FLE
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LMU
1 - 1
USS
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
STP
0 - 2
LMU
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LMU
3 - 1
CHA
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 2
LMU
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LMU
0 - 2
TOU
77%
17%
7%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |