Thouars vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
THO
0 - 0
VAN
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
ANG
1 - 0
THO
83%
13%
5%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1995 |
LHA
2 - 0
ASS
39%
30%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
MPL
2 - 1
LHA
53%
25%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
CHA
0 - 2
LHA
10%
19%
70%
|
76 | 7 | 69 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
LHA
1 - 0
FCM
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
NIC
0 - 2
LHA
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |