Thouars vs FC Martigues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
NOZ
0 - 2
THO
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
THO
1 - 2
LHA
13%
21%
65%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
THO
0 - 0
VAN
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
ANG
1 - 0
THO
83%
13%
5%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC Martigues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
FCM
2 - 0
STR
25%
28%
48%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
MPL
2 - 0
FCM
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
RCL
1 - 3
FCM
13%
23%
64%
|
71 | 14 | 57 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1996 |
FCM
0 - 4
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
CAN
2 - 1
FCM
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |