Thouars vs Chatellerault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
THO
1 - 1
USS
35%
28%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STP
2 - 0
THO
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
THO
1 - 2
CHA
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LRO
4 - 0
THO
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
THO
1 - 3
TOU
24%
27%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 2
BRE
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
USS
1 - 2
CHA
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 4
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
3 - 1
CHA
49%
23%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |