Thór vs ÍR Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
HAU
2 - 0
THO
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
THO
2 - 0
THR
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SEL
2 - 3
THO
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
THO
1 - 1
FYL
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
THO
2 - 1
LEI
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ÍR Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
REY
2 - 2
FRA
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
REY
1 - 2
HAU
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
THR
2 - 1
REY
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
REY
1 - 3
SEL
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
REY
1 - 2
FYL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |