Thór vs ÍBV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
IHH
1 - 5
THO
17%
21%
63%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
THO
5 - 2
FYL
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
THO
3 - 4
STJ
25%
24%
52%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 0
THO
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
THO
1 - 2
FJO
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
IBV
3 - 0
HAU
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
IBV
1 - 2
VIK
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FHH
1 - 0
IBV
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
IBV
1 - 3
FYL
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
IBV
1 - 2
STJ
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |