Thór vs Afturelding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
FRA
4 - 1
THO
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
THO
4 - 1
GRI
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
GRO
4 - 3
THO
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
THO
3 - 0
MAG
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
THO
0 - 5
VIK
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Afturelding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
AFT
0 - 5
IBV
45%
23%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
VIK
1 - 5
AFT
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
AFT
1 - 1
KFC
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
AFT
8 - 0
SRI
76%
14%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
REH
0 - 2
AFT
7%
11%
82%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |