Thonon Évian vs Velay FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
THO
2 - 1
HAL
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MOU
0 - 5
THO
18%
19%
64%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LDU
0 - 2
THO
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
THO
3 - 3
AUR
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CLE
1 - 3
THO
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Velay FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 2
VEL
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 1
VEL
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AIN
2 - 0
VEL
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MOU
3 - 0
VEL
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LDU
1 - 0
VEL
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |