Thonon Évian vs Hauts Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
12º
6º
11
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 90.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 2
THO
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
THO
2 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 1
THO
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
THO
4 - 2
SAE
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 0
THO
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hauts Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 0
LYO
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 0
HAL
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 1
HAL
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 2
MAC
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
HAL
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |