Thonon Évian vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
11º
36
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
THO
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THO
0 - 1
JUR
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AND
1 - 2
THO
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THO
3 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
THO
0 - 6
HYE
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 2
FRE
56%
26%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
CAN
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 1
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
GRA
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |