Thonon Évian vs Chassieu Decines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+242%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
12º
2º
6
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 59 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 44 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 43 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 37 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 26 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 11 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
THO
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
THO
0 - 2
PFC
7%
13%
80%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
THO
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
THO
1 - 1
AUB
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
THO
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chassieu Decines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LYO
7 - 0
CDE
96%
4%
1%
|
20 | 88 | 68 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAE
3 - 0
CDE
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 3
SAI
17%
22%
60%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAU
0 - 1
CDE
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 0
OVA
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |