Thonon Évian vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 0
THO
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
THO
1 - 2
CLE
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
THO
5 - 0
MOU
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HAL
3 - 1
THO
33%
22%
46%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
THO
1 - 0
LDU
74%
15%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 2
AIN
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
AUR
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 2
BOU
22%
22%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOU
3 - 2
BOU
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 2
HAL
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |