Thonon Évian vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CLE
1 - 3
THO
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
THO
2 - 3
LIM
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VAU
0 - 4
THO
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
THO
0 - 0
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAE
3 - 3
THO
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 2
BOU
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 2
AUR
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 1
MOU
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAL
4 - 2
AUR
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
LDU
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |