Thisted vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LYN
3 - 1
THI
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
THI
1 - 3
FCH
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
ZEN
3 - 2
THI
27%
22%
51%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
HOB
6 - 2
THI
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
THI
1 - 1
VEN
14%
18%
68%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
NAE
1 - 3
AAB
24%
23%
52%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
NAE
0 - 0
SIF
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
NAE
1 - 0
VFF
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HVI
4 - 0
NAE
28%
22%
50%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FRE
3 - 0
NAE
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |