Thisted vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 3
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
THI
3 - 0
ESB
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
FYN
1 - 0
THI
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
THI
1 - 1
JAM
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
VAN
0 - 3
THI
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NAE
0 - 1
VFF
37%
24%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SON
1 - 1
NAE
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
NAE
3 - 2
FRE
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
HEL
0 - 0
NAE
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
NAE
1 - 0
AKA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |