Thisted vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
41
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
THI
4 - 3
BRA
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
THI
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VFF
1 - 1
THI
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 4
THI
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
SKI
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
KOD
0 - 6
MID
7%
13%
81%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MID
1 - 1
AAF
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 1
MID
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 1
MID
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MID
3 - 1
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |