Thisted vs Hellerup IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
11º
11º
13
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 46 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
17 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 35 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 29 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 29 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 42% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
95% | 58% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
THI
1 - 3
BFR
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 2
AAF
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 0
THI
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
THI
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 1
NAE
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 2
HEL
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HEL
1 - 1
MID
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
HEL
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 0
LFA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 3
HEL
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |