Thisted vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
HED
3 - 2
THI
4%
9%
87%
|
64 | 29 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ROS
2 - 3
THI
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
THI
2 - 1
VFF
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
RAN
3 - 1
THI
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
THI
1 - 1
GRE
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 0
ESB
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 3
VEN
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
ESB
2 - 1
FRE
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 0
MID
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 1
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |