Thisted vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
HVI
0 - 0
THI
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
THI
1 - 1
AMA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SIF
2 - 2
THI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
THI
4 - 0
KBK
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LFA
1 - 2
THI
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 2
VFF
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HER
4 - 2
FRE
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
AKA
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ROS
3 - 1
FRE
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -2 |