Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ESB
5 - 1
THI
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 1
THI
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
THI
1 - 3
MID
24%
25%
50%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
THI
4 - 3
BRA
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
THI
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 2
AAF
14%
20%
66%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
1 - 7
AAF
5%
10%
85%
|
57 | 6 | 51 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
3 - 1
ROS
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MID
1 - 1
AAF
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |