Thimphu Raven vs Samtse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
5º
5º
4
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thimphu Raven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
NAM
6 - 3
TRA
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TEN
3 - 0
TRA
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
BUT
9%
13%
78%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TEN
1 - 1
TRA
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
UGY
12 - 0
TRA
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Samtse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 5
SDU
93%
6%
2%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 3
TFC
92%
6%
2%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
PFC
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SFC
1 - 2
UGY
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +3 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
YFC
3 - 1
SFC
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |