Thimphu Raven vs Phuentsholing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.8%
17%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
5º
5º
1
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thimphu Raven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 2
SFC
7%
13%
79%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
NAM
6 - 3
TRA
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TEN
3 - 0
TRA
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
BUT
9%
13%
78%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TEN
1 - 1
TRA
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Phuentsholing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2023 |
BUT
5 - 2
PFC
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
PFC
0 - 2
TFC
67%
16%
18%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 1
SDU
84%
9%
6%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
PFC
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
UGY
7 - 0
PFC
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | 0 |