Thika United vs Ulinzi Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SOF
3 - 0
THI
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
THI
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
THI
0 - 1
POS
37%
30%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VIU
0 - 1
THI
54%
26%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
THI
0 - 2
AFC
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ulinzi Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ULI
0 - 2
GOR
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ULI
0 - 0
BAN
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
ULI
1 - 1
KAK
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
TUS
3 - 0
ULI
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ULI
1 - 2
SOF
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |