Thika United vs Ulinzi Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
THI
0 - 0
SOF
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KAK
2 - 1
THI
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
THI
1 - 0
NAI
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
THI
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
GOR
2 - 1
THI
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ulinzi Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ULI
2 - 1
CHE
57%
27%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
ULI
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ULI
0 - 2
MAT
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POS
1 - 0
ULI
26%
29%
45%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
ULI
2 - 1
MUH
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |