Thika United vs Tusker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SOF
2 - 1
THI
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
THI
0 - 1
CHE
56%
26%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ULI
0 - 2
THI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
THI
0 - 2
SON
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
NAI
2 - 2
THI
32%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
TUS
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TUS
0 - 1
GOR
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
SON
0 - 1
TUS
33%
30%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
TUS
2 - 3
MUH
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
TUS
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |