Thika United vs Nairobi City Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
THI
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
GOR
2 - 1
THI
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
THI
0 - 0
POS
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
THI
0 - 1
MAT
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WES
1 - 1
THI
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nairobi City Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KAK
1 - 0
NAI
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAI
1 - 0
AFC
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
NAI
62%
24%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NAI
2 - 2
GOR
19%
27%
54%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 0
NAI
46%
30%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |