Thika United vs Chemelil Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
32%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NZO
1 - 0
THI
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
THI
0 - 2
TUS
19%
27%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
THI
1 - 0
GOR
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
KAS
3 - 0
THI
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
THI
0 - 1
VIU
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SON
1 - 1
CHE
54%
29%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
MAT
25%
30%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
POS
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
TUS
2 - 0
CHE
65%
23%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 2
ULI
27%
31%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |