Thika United vs Chemelil Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ULI
0 - 2
THI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
THI
0 - 2
SON
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
NAI
2 - 2
THI
32%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NAK
1 - 2
THI
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
THI
2 - 0
USH
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WES
1 - 1
CHE
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 3
ULI
23%
31%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
USH
1 - 0
CHE
54%
27%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHE
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
NAK
40%
28%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |