Thiers vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
63%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LDU
2 - 1
THI
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
THI
1 - 1
CHA
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AIN
3 - 1
THI
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
THI
1 - 3
AUR
42%
25%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VAU
5 - 4
THI
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOU
4 - 3
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MOU
19%
21%
61%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LDU
2 - 1
MOU
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 5
CHA
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AIN
1 - 0
MOU
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -2 |