Thiers vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
55.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AND
2 - 1
THI
68%
22%
11%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
THI
0 - 1
CLE
35%
27%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FEU
1 - 0
THI
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
THI
0 - 1
COU
48%
24%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
THI
1 - 0
FEU
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
COU
74%
16%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 1
MON
15%
24%
61%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MON
2 - 4
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAI
0 - 4
MON
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
PON
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |