Thiers vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOU
0 - 1
THI
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
THI
1 - 2
CLE
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ERN
3 - 1
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
THI
0 - 3
PON
26%
27%
48%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
THI
0 - 2
CHA
20%
26%
54%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LPV
2 - 0
CSL
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 1
LPV
60%
22%
19%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LPV
1 - 0
EVI
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 0
LPV
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LPV
2 - 0
COU
47%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |