Thiers vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
70.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HAL
4 - 0
THI
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 1
THI
69%
18%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
THI
1 - 2
BOU
31%
25%
43%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LDU
1 - 0
THI
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
THI
2 - 2
CLE
33%
25%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
AUB
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 0
SÈT
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 0
THO
66%
20%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CRF
1 - 0
FRE
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
MGG
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |