Thiers vs ER Novillars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
THI
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
THI
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
COU
0 - 1
THI
64%
22%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 2
THI
70%
20%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
THI
1 - 3
EVI
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PON
0 - 0
ERN
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 3
CSL
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 0
ERN
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
ERN
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 2
COU
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |