Thierrens vs Olympique de Geneve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
68.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
12º
11º
42
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VEY
2 - 3
THI
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
THI
1 - 1
STA
19%
21%
61%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FCU
6 - 2
THI
82%
12%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
THI
1 - 1
ROM
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
THI
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique de Geneve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ODG
5 - 0
UGS
50%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
ODG
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ECH
2 - 2
ODG
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ODG
6 - 0
GEN
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
ODG
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |