Thierrens vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
THI
0 - 2
BAV
19%
21%
61%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAU
1 - 5
THI
43%
23%
35%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUM
2 - 2
THI
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
THI
5 - 2
DUR
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
THI
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LER
2 - 1
GUM
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 0
LER
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
LER
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LER
2 - 1
POR
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SEC
2 - 1
LER
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |