Thierrens vs Lancy FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
74.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
12º
11º
61
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
YVE
3 - 2
THI
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THI
1 - 2
ODG
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VEY
2 - 3
THI
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
THI
1 - 1
STA
19%
21%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FCU
6 - 2
THI
82%
12%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 1
UGS
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
LAN
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 1
SBC
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PFO
3 - 3
LAN
57%
20%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MEY
1 - 1
LAN
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |