Thierrens vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 4
THI
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
THI
2 - 2
DAR
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ECH
0 - 5
THI
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
THI
2 - 2
BOU
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BUL
3 - 0
THI
80%
13%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 1
FAR
61%
21%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FAR
3 - 0
BOU
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ROM
6 - 3
FAR
54%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FAR
0 - 1
SEC
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
GEN
4 - 2
FAR
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |