Thierrens vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
THI
3 - 0
BUM
68%
17%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 1
THI
34%
24%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
THI
3 - 1
OST
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TPA
2 - 0
THI
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
THI
2 - 0
LYS
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TPA
1 - 1
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
LYS
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LAC
7 - 0
FAR
84%
12%
5%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 0
COL
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GUM
1 - 2
FAR
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |