Thierrens vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
THI
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
THI
2 - 1
POR
29%
22%
48%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 2
THI
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
THI
1 - 4
TPA
55%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
THI
2 - 3
LOC
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DUR
0 - 2
GUM
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAU
1 - 2
DUR
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
5 - 0
DUR
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DUR
1 - 3
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SEC
2 - 3
DUR
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |