Thierrens vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
SEC
1 - 2
THI
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LOC
8 - 2
THI
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
THI
3 - 4
DUD
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 0
THI
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
THI
2 - 0
STA
35%
23%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
TPA
68%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCU
1 - 3
COL
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
COL
3 - 0
ROM
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
COL
51%
23%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
COL
3 - 2
SEC
39%
23%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |