Thierrens vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
THI
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LAC
3 - 0
THI
80%
14%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 2
THI
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
THI
6 - 1
BER
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
THI
1 - 1
STA
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TPA
1 - 2
COL
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
LYS
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COL
1 - 4
LAC
12%
18%
71%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
COL
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
GUM
2 - 1
COL
33%
25%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |