Thespa Gunma vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ZWE
1 - 1
THE
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
JUB
1 - 0
THE
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
THE
1 - 1
OMI
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
TOK
3 - 1
THE
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
THE
1 - 2
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
TOC
3 - 0
MAT
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
RYK
4 - 2
TOC
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 1
TOC
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 2
GIR
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
JUB
3 - 2
TOC
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |