Thespa Gunma vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
THE
1 - 1
KYO
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TOK
2 - 2
THE
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
THE
2 - 2
CER
18%
24%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SHO
2 - 1
THE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
NAG
3 - 1
THE
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
KAA
2 - 2
SAN
74%
16%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 2
KAA
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
GAM
1 - 3
SAN
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
FCT
0 - 2
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUB
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |