Thespa Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
THE
0 - 0
KAT
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GAI
1 - 0
THE
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BLA
2 - 2
THE
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
THE
2 - 2
FUJ
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
THE
2 - 1
AZU
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ROA
3 - 2
AZU
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ROA
0 - 0
FUJ
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
KAT
1 - 1
ROA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TOK
2 - 0
ROA
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
KAM
2 - 2
ROA
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |