Thespa Gunma vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
THE
1 - 1
EHI
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 1
THE
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
THE
2 - 2
TOK
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
JUC
2 - 3
THE
7%
13%
79%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
JEF
2 - 0
THE
56%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FCY
5 - 1
OIT
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
OIT
0 - 2
KAW
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GAM
2 - 1
OIT
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
OIT
1 - 0
URA
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
OIT
2 - 0
FFC
86%
12%
3%
|
68 | 19 | 49 | +1 |